Friday, December 31, 2021

Imagine a World With US-China Cooperation

 "On September 10, 2021, during an important diplomatic meeting that occurred by telephone, U.S. President Joseph Biden and Chinese President Xi Jinping affirmed the necessity of a better relationship between their two nations. According to the official Chinee summary, Xi said that 'when China and the United States cooperate, the two countries and the world will benefit; when China and the United States are in confrontation, the two countries and the world will suffer.' He added: 'Getting the relationship right is... something we must do and must do well.'

At the moment, however, the governments of the two nations seem far from a cooperative relationship. Indeed, intensely suspicious of one another, the United States and China are sharpening their military spending, developing new nuclear-weapons, engaging in heated quarrels over territorial issues, and sharpening their economic competition. Disputes over the status of Taiwan and the South China Sea are particularly likely flashpoints for war.

But imagine the possibilities if the United States and China cooperate. After all, these countries possess the world's two largest military budgets and the two biggest economies, are the two leading consumers of energy and have a combined population of nearly 1.8 billion people. Working together, they could exercise enormous influence in world affairs.

Instead of preparing for a deadly military confrontation -- one that appeared perilously close in late 2020 and early 2021 -- the United States and China could turn over their conflicts to the United Nations or other neutral bodies like the Association of Southeast Asian Nations for mediation and resolution. Aside from averting a potentially devastating war, perhaps even a nuclear war, this policy would facilitate substantial cuts in military spending, with savings that could be devoted to bolstering UN operations and funding their domestic social programs.

Instead of the two countries obstructing UN action to protect international peace and security, they  could fully support it -- for example, by ratifying the UN Treaty on the Prohibition of Nuclear Weapons.

Instead of continuing as the world's largest emitters of greenhouse gases, these two economic giants could work together to fight the escalating climate catastrophe by reducing their carbon footprint and championing international agreements with other nations to do the same.

Instead of blaming one another for the current pandemic, they could work cooperatively on global public health measures, including massive production and distribution of COVID-19 vaccines and research on other potentially horrendous diseases.

Instead of engaging in wasteful economic competition and trade wars, they could pool their vast economic resources and skills to provide poorer nations with economic development programs and direct economic assistance. Instead of denouncing one another for human rights violations, they could admit that they both had oppressed their racial minorities, announce plans for ending the mistreatment, and provide reparations to their victims."

(Source: Lawrence Wittner, "Imagine a World With US-China Cooperation," Common Dreams, October 11, 2021.)

Imagine...

...No 'modernization' of the Intercontinental Ballistic Missiles (ICBMs);

...No First Use of nuclear weapons;

...No nuclear missiles with their bombs on hair-trigger alert;

...No nuclear war 'football' travelling with the U.S. President all the time;

...The U.S. joining over 50 nations in signing the Treaty on the Prohibition of Nuclear Weapons, because nukes are now illegal.

The foregoing is a summary of Peace Action of Michigan's August 6, 2021 Zoom, which included a Power Point presentation.

Tuesday, December 28, 2021

US Sanctions Policies Desperately Need Accountability

 "In the 20 years since 9/11 and the start of the 'Global War on Terror,' sanctions have become one of the most dominant tools in the U.S. foreign policy tool chest. Yet despite limited evidence of success and abundant evidence of serious consequences, the U.S. government does little to evaluate the impact these blunt instruments have on civilian populations or even on the U.S. foreign policy objectives. Congress has a  chance to change that.

An amendment to the FY2022 National Defense Authorization  Act detailing that role, offered by Rep. Chuy Garcia (D-Ill.), and passed by the House of Representatives in September, will likely become law if a conference committee decides to retain it in the NDAA's final version. A coalition of humanitarian, peacebuilding, human rights, and other civil society groups have been advocating for impact assessments for years and are now calling on the conference chairs to retain the provision.

The amendment would require the Government Accountability Office, in consultation with the president and other relevant agencies, to report to Congress on the humanitarian impacts of comprehensive U.S. sanctions, including the ability of civilian populations to access water, food, sanitation, and public health, and their impact on the delivery of humanitarian aid and development projects. It would also require more transparency around exemption for humanitarian aid, and other exceptions to sanctions as well as an assessment of whether sanctions are achieving stated foreign policy goals.

Until now, only independent assessments have shed light on the true impacts of U.S. sanctions. Human Rights Watch has documented how sanctions have been depriving Iranians of their right to health, deterring financial institutions from facilitating transactions in Iran necessary for importing medicine and medical equipment, and necessary for international NGOs to pay their staff and keep their operations afloat.

Korea Peace Now, a global movement of women mobilizing to end the Korean War, has documented the gendered impacts of sanctions on North Korea, showing that the economic pressure sanctions impose on society 'tends to exacerbate rates of domestic violence, sexual violence, and the trafficking and prostitution of women.'

Particularly concerning is the wide gap between the academic consensus on sanctions and the political reliance on these tools. Empirical studies have shown repeatedly that -- with few exceptions -- sanctions rarely achieve their foreign policy objectives. Sanctions against North Korea failed to prevent it from advancing its nuclear weapons program, while serving its government as a rallying cry against the United States. Sanctions against Iran have yet to compel it to return to the nuclear agreement, unsurprisingly given that the sanctions were reimposed in violation of that accord.

A recent Ipsos poll commissioned by the American Friends Service Committee found that a majority of Americans (53 percent) agreed the United States should lift sanctions if they interfere with humanitarian aid, and COVID relief efforts (compared to 26 percent who disagreed, and 21 percent who didn't know). It also found that a plurality (49 percent) agreed the United States should lift sanctions if they damage economic activity and livelihoods of ordinary citizens (28 percent disagreed and 23 percent didn't know); and 48 percent agreed the United States should lift sanctions if they violate international legal principles (30 percent disagreed, and 22 percent didn't know)."

(Source: Daniel Jasper and Gabe Murphy, "US sanctions policies desperately need accountability," RESPONSIBLE STATECRAFT, October 18, 2021.)

Monday, December 27, 2021

Losing Abortion Rights in Supreme Court Case

"The 1973 decision in Roe v. Wade protected a women's right to an abortion without excessive restrictions. But the high court is now considering arguments in another case, Dobbs v. Jackson Women's Health Organization, that gives the conservative majority their most significant chance in decades to gut the Roe precedent. In oral arguments, the six conservatives seemed open to allowing a Mississippi law that bars abortions after 15 weeks to stand, undermining the core principles of the Roe verdict.

The court is not expected to rule on the case for months; typically, justice wait to release opinions in their most explosive cases until the end of their yearly term in June.

But the scenario in which justices overturn Roe is one for which conservatives have been preparing for decades, by laying a foundation of laws that either sought to bring a challenge to the high court or snap into effect once abortion laws changed

Twelve states -- Arkansas, Idaho, Oklahoma, South Dakota, Kentucky, Louisiana, Mississippi, Missouri, North Dakota, Tennessee, Texas and Utah -- have passed laws that would bar all or nearly all abortions, written in a way that would bar all or nearly all abortions, written in a way that would allow them to take effect after the Supreme Court overturns Roe, according to the Guttmacher Institute, a pro-abortion rights research institution. 

'Those laws vary by state, but they all have language that describes how they would take effect,' said Elizabeth Nash, director of state issues at the Guttmacher Institute. Some require the state attorney general to certify that the Supreme Court's decision allows that state to ban abortions.

Eight states -- Alabama, Arizona, Arkansas, Michigan, Mississippi, Oklahoma, West Virginia and Wisconsin -- still have abortion bans on their books that were passed years, and sometimes decades, before Roe was decided. Texas has a similar law that is under injunction by a federal court.

But if the precedent is struck down, those laws would be enforceable once again, and the Supreme  Court ruling would likely allow Texas's law to take effect.

'If Roe is overturned, then states with pre-Roe bans could take the steps necessary to implement them,' Nash said.

Those states, some of which have laws that both predate and post-date the Roe decision, are home to a collective 51 million women. Georgia, Ohio and South Carolina, which have each passed restrictions on abortion that were ruled unconstitutional under Roe, but could be reinstated depending on the court's ruling, are home to another 14 million women.

Collectively, the 65 million women who live in states where abortion restrictions would take effect in a post-Roe world represent almost 40 percent of the 165 million women who live in the United States."

Source: Reid Wilson, "65 M women could lose abortion rights in Supreme Court case," The Hill, 12/3/21.

Monday, December 20, 2021

Facing the Facts About Gun Violence in the U.S.

 "A day after another tragic school shooting, I just finished teaching a criminology class about gun violence and how to reduce it in the U.S. I found that my students have many misconceptions about the scope and nature of the problem. I believe they are not alone, and that these misconceptions that many others may hold work against the development of thoughtful and effective policy. Although whole volumes can and have been written about this. I share here just a few observations.

First, many have no idea of how many people are injured or killed by gun violence in the U.S. annually. According to the CDC, more than 45,000 people were killed by gun violence in the U.S. in 2020, an increase in recent decades. This is an average of more than 120 gun-related deaths per day. It includes a 30 percent increase in homicides from the previous year. Between 2015 and 2019 there were 2,606 gun deaths by law enforcement alone. These numbers should be shocking, with the gun-related homicide rates 25 times greater than other wealthy nations.

Second, most are unaware that the biggest percentage of gun-related fatalities come from suicide. Nearly two-thirds of deaths by gun are suicides, an average of approximately 64 per day. Likewise, accidental injuries and deaths are far more frequent in the U.S. than in other wealthy counties. a study by researchers from the University of  Pennsylvania and Columbia University found that between 2009 and 2017, there was an annual average of 85,700 ER visits for non-fatal injuries. ABC News developed a Gun Violence Tracker and found that for the week of November 19 to 25, 2021,there were 345 deaths and 623 injuries due to firearms in the U.S.

Third, the cost of gun violence is astronomical. The U.S, spends nearly one billion dollars annually on immediate healthcare cost alone, according to the U.S. General Accounting Office. The costs are far greater when you factor in long-term physical and mental heath care, as well as criminal justice and other  costs.

Fourth, while mass shootings typically dominate the conservation about gun control, they represent less than three percent of annual gun-related deaths. Further, the primary reason for mass shootings in the U.S. is domestic violence. Similarly, much attention has been paid to active shooter situations, with some potentially problematic policy implications, yet these represent just one percent of gun deaths.

Fifth, while many emphasize gun deaths in big cities like Chicago, approximately half of homicides by gun occur in suburban and rural areas.  In addition, gun injuries are widespread and not exclusive to big cities. While Black males are disproportionately victims of intentional shootings, White males in rural communities are over-represented in suicide by gun. 

This is not an exhaustive list of misconceptions, nor does it offer solutions. My hope in teaching and writing about this is that, if we all discuss real data, perhaps then we can identify more appropriate policies and practices, which might include gun control, educational programs, mental health assistance and more." 

Footnote:

[1] Laura Finley, Ph.D., syndicated by PeaceVoice, teaches in the Barry University Department of Sociology & Criminology. Published by OregonPeaceWorks, December 3, 2021.

Wednesday, November 10, 2021

Jon Burge: The Notorious Chicago Police Commander

 (This posting was first done on May 27, 2015. I am posting this once again because it points out the serious consequences that can result from police commanders using torture to extract confessions).

"On November 2, 1983, Darrell Cannon found himself in the Chicago Police Department's Area 2 headquarters with a shotgun stuck in his mouth as a white officer yelled 'Blow that nigger's head off.' The officer pulled the trigger, but no round was fired, so he pulled it again. But the shotgun wasn't loaded, it was just one of tactics that the three officers present that day would use in trying to get a murder confession out of their suspect." Another was applying repeated electric shocks to the penis and testicles until the suspect finally confessed. [1]

Darrell Cannon was one of at least 110 African American men who experienced similar forms of torture at the hands of CPD commander Jon Burge, and the detectives who reported to him. Twenty of those coerced into false confessions were still in prison as of the date of the original posting.

It wasn't until 2008 that Burge was arrested on charges of perjury and obstruction of justice related to one of the lawsuits filed against him. He was convicted two years later, and served four and a half years in prison before being released in 2014.

I was peripherally involved in the case of one of Burge's tortured victims, who was on Death Row at the time, as I rode on a family-chartered bus to serve as a supporting witness in an Illinois Supreme Court hearing on his case. Later, as chair of Illinois Peace Action, I spoke at a rally held for this same person. This person, whose name I don't remember, was released from Death Row into general society, because there was no evidence to tie him to the murder for which he was convicted.

Burge has proved to be an expensive hire for the city of Chicago. Chicago Mayor Rahm Emanuel has agreed to pay $5.5 million to victims of police torture under Burge, and his associate officers from charges of torturing people in their custody. $22 million is the amount of pension costs paid to Burge and his torture associates over the years. An estimated fifty to sixty-five people are eligible for reparations, including job training and tuition, for their treatment at the hands of Burge and associates.

If there is a silver lining in the immense damage caused by Jon Burge and his underlings, it is that the Chicago City Council passed an ordinance consisting of three overarching components: public recognition of the torture, including job placement, mental-health services for victims, and free tuition to city city colleges; and a $5.5 million fund for financial reparations. Chicago public schools are also required to teach the history of Burge's torture in the eighth and tenth grades.



Monday, November 8, 2021

By the Numbers; Blocking Texas's Abortion Law; and "Botched Executions"

 I. Drone Strikes

14K - Number of confirmed US drone strikes in Somalia, Yemen, Pakistan, and Afghanistan since 2004.

90% - Approximate percentage of the more than 200 people killed in Afghanistan by strikes during one five-month period of a Special Operations campaign, who were not the intended targets.

45 - Number of months ex-NSA analyst Daniel Hale could spend in prison for leaking information about US drone attacks, including the previous fact.

17 - Minimum number of documents Hale leaked to reporters.

8 - Number of people prosecuted by the US  government for leaking to journalists since 2017. Source: Jarod Facundo, The Nation).

II. Sexual Misconduct

$300k - Amount Congress paid in sexual harassment and sexual discrimination settlements from 2003 to 2018.

52 - Number of senators wo voted to confirm Supreme Court Justice Clarence Thomas in 1991 after Anita Hill accused him of sexual harassment. 

11 - Number of women that New York Governor Andrew Cuomo harassed, according to the state attorney general's investigation.

26 - Number of women who have accused Donald Trump of sexual misconduct. (Source: Gloria Oladipo, The Nation ).

III. Blocking Texas Abortion Law

In early October, U.S. District Judge Robert Pitman blocked a controversial Texas law banning abortions after about six weeks of pregnancy, saying that "a person's right under the Constitution to choose to obtain an abortion prior to fetal viability is well established." His ruling added that "depriving citizens of this right" would be "flagrantly unconstitutional."

The order came in response to the Biden administration's emergency request to prevent Texas from enforcing the law as the court considers a Justice Department lawsuit challenging its constitutionality. The Supreme Court narrowly allowed it to take effect about a month ago.

The order from Pitman noted that Texas requested that the state be allowed to appeal the injunction before it takes effect. 

"The State has forfeited the right to any accommodation by pursuing an unprecedented and aggressive scheme to deprive its citizens of a significant and well-established constitutional right," Pitman wrote.

"The other courts may find a way to avoid this conclusion is theirs to decide," he added. "This Court will not sanction one more day of this offensive deprivation of such an important right."

The law has prohibited most abortions in Texas since September. Specifically, it banned abortions after a fetal heartbeat is detected, which typically takes place around six weeks -- and before some women know they are pregnant. 

Whole Woman's Health, a network of abortion clinics that operates in Texas, said it would resume abortions after up to 18 weeks of pregnancy "as soon as possible," according to '19th News.'

Prior to Pitman's order, some speculated that abortions may still not resume, as providers fear legal repercussions in the absence of a more long-term ruling, according to 'The Associated Press.'

IV. The Inexact Science of Legally Killing People

(This blog was originally posted  on May 29, 2014, under buckupdems. It has relevance today.) "Since the restoration of capital punishment in 1976, the Death Penalty Information Center has recorded at least forty-five 'botched executions': 73 percent of which were by lethal injection." [1]

Due in part to the unwillingness of countries without the death penalty to supply drugs that will be used in U.S. executions, states are taking "increasingly secretive and extralegal steps," to procure the drugs used in lethal injections, "including using discontinued and illegally obtained drugs and drugs purchased at unregulated 'compounding pharmacies'." [2] These pharmacies are basically experimenting with drug combinations that might work in executions.

There are a couple of great ironies brought to light by the botched execution of Clayton Lockett in Oklahoma. Lockett injured his arm on the day of the execution, and he was very uncooperative during other medical procedures performed that day. Richard Kim observes that Lockett probably received more government healthcare on the day of his execution than most Oklahomans do in a year.

The other irony is that 22 states other than Oklahoma have also refused to expand Medicaid and 19 of them practice the death penalty, leading Kim to ask the question: "Why are some states so willing to spend a great deal of time and effort to maintain the machinery of death for so few, and so unwilling to make the same kind of investment in improving the health and lives of so many?" 

V. Arbitrary IQ Tests a No Go as Execution Standard

By a 5-4 decision, the U.S, Supreme Court ruled that state laws that draw a bright line on IQ test results as an execution standard are unconstitutional. Florida has a law stating that an inmate who scores above 70 on an IQ test cannot be considered to be intellectually disabled, thus, he/she is execution material.

The case -- Hall v. Florida -- broke down into a frequently seen 4 to 4 liberal/conservative split, with the frequent swing vote, Justice Anthony M. Kennedy, writing the majority opinion. Kennedy said: "Persons facing this severe sanction must have a fair opportunity to show that the constitution prohibits their execution." The majority opinion also alluded to the IQ test score being imprecise and that other states are using a range of scores, a few points above or below 70, or rely on other factors to make the execution decision.

Justice Samuel A. Alito wrote the minority opinion, and he contented that voiding Florida's clear standard was conceptually unsound and would cause confusion; also, he argued that the decision to define mental retardation had initially been left up to the states.

The effect of the decision in the Hall v. Florida case makes it a little more difficult to execute a person who is near the line of being declared intellectually disabled or not.

Footnotes

[1] Richard Kim, "The Oklahoma Way of Death,' The Nation, May 26, 2014; [2] Ibid.; [3] Ibid.

Monday, October 18, 2021

 annual conventions. In the business sessions, we debated resolutions which stated our positions on peace and justice issues. We also set policy for the coming year. Hosting these sessions helped me become quite comfortable in speaking in public settings.

VIII. A Thumbnail Sketch of Social Security Work

In my work at Social Security, I spent 15 months teaching the full panoply of Social Security law, rules and regulations. When I took the 13-week course to become a claims authorizer, I had, I believe, at least four instructors, who taught their specialties. The new administrator decided to have one instructor teach the  entire course. After my teaching assignment, I was promoted to technical assistant, in which position I spent most of the rest of my career checking the work of claims authorizers. 

One assignment I received came after I spent a week at our headquarters in Baltimore, a part of which was to prepare me to lead a task force devoted to finding who should be credited with Social Security earnings. Since Social Security numbers were being sold to [mostly Mexican immigrants], it was a draining  experience to find the proper recipients.

IX. University Park Activity

While living in University Park, Illinois for about a decade, I was president of the Little League baseball association, the youth football association, and an elementary school PTO where our children were educated. 

At another level of activity, I served as the chair of the committee in charge of maintaining all of our recreational facilities. As part of President Lyndon Johnson's model cities program, under the name of Park Forest South, we had a lake and a model farm with animals under our jurisdiction.

I played a role in bringing community TV to our village, but more importantly, I served on the village board's representative to a consortium of south suburban villages, which exchanged ideas on how best to use community TV. Later, I was elected as a village trustee.

X. An Addendum on Print Evidence

I realize that I failed to identify the two prints, print examiner Laffey claimed to have found on the Degnan note. He found on June 28, a print of the little finger with attached palm print on the front of the note, matching Heirens. On July 12, he found on the back of the note, a partial palm print that matched Heirens' palm.

It is ironic that Laffey couldn't even initially get prints due to the oil coating, yet he was later to get two prints; also, it took him about a week less than six months to get one print identification. He found the second Heirens' print on the same day, July 12th, that the CPD reversed itself, and said the Brown print actually did match that of Heirens. Latent print examiner Steven Schachte couldn't find any Heirens' prints on the front of the note, and he made no mention of palm prints. When State's Attorney Tuohy made his closing remarks in the sentencing hearing on September 5th., he said that all they had on Heirens was a single fingerprint.

XI. A Closing

In the sentencing hearing on September 5, 1946 -- Bill Heirens never had a criminal trial, but prosecutors were required to present the evidence they would revealed if there had been a criminal trial -- State's Attorney Touhy praised Heirens' defense team for "finding it possible to aid in a final and a just determination of this entire matter. Without the aid of the defense, there would be no answer for the death of Josephine Ross. Also, without defense aid there might be sincere public doubt about the guilt of Heirens in the killing of Degnan and Brown."

The defense started cooperating with the prosecution on July 7, 1946.

I realize I have given Marquis specialists a lot of material to deal with. I trust they can separate wheat from chaff. Before getting a response, I will start work on trimming down this material so that it can be used as a Personal Narrative for submission to media outlets.

Saturday, October 16, 2021

 On May 9,1992, Elizabeth M. Biestek, of our committee and three other examiners concluded during a handwriting workshop that the "handwriting on the Suzanne Degnan ransom note and on the Frances Brown wall do not compare favorably with the handwriting sample attributed to William Heirens and were most probably written by someone other than William Heirens."

Another handwriting analyst, Mary Frances Means, told the 'Chicago Daily News that there was no possibility that the same person who wrote the ransom note did the wall writing."

When 'PrimeTime Live', the ABC television program, Hired David Grimes, a handwriting analyst with twelve years of experience with the FBI, he became the tenth analyst the program interviewed who found no similarity in the two writings.

George W. Schwartz Was hired by the prosecution to attempt to link the ransom note to Bill Hierens. Reviewing the note and various papers written by Heirens, Schwartz concluded that "individual characteristics in the two writings do not compare in any respect." Dissatisfied with that assessment, State's Attorney Tuohy then hired Herbert J. Walter. In July 25, 1946, Walter contradicted himself and contended that the two writings were done by the same person, when on January 8, 1946, he told the 'Herald American' that there were a "few similarities" and a "great many dissimilarities." 

VI. Excelled as a School Teacher

The Personal Narrative I received said I "excelled" as a school teacher. That characterization without any context doesn't mean very much. I will allude first to the extra-curricular work I did when teaching at Lathrop High School in Fairbanks, Alaska. Fairbanks had a juvenile jury program, and since I taught  American Government, some of my junior and senior students were on the juvenile jury. I became a member of the management team in my first year there. In my second year, I became the director of the program.

We would meet in an used courtroom after school hours, with a judge present to monitor sentences  being handed out. The jury would debate and propose sentences to teenagers who had been convicted of misdemeanors. As an example of the kinds of sentences handed out, a high schooler who had illegally passed a stopped school bus, was sentenced to ride an early-morning bus for a month, and get out at every stop to ensure that safety conditions were being met.

Since Lathrop was to host the competition for high school wrestlers in Alaska, the sports director and varsity basketball coach, named "Joe," called me in and asked me: "Lauri, how would you like to run the high school wrestling competition?" I said I had some limited knowledge of high school wrestling. Joe said: "Lauri, you'll learn." I had interviewed with Joe to coach the junior varsity basketball team, and either he was impressed with me, or he didn't want to get stuck with the job.

Subsequently, I secured a TV time slot, and I took two Lathrop wrestlers with me to illustrate   wrestling holds and explain how points were scored. I also helped a local radio station with their coverage of the early bouts.

Just to illustrate that my experience at Lathrop wasn't an outlier, while teaching eight grade at Wallace, Michigan, 15 miles from the Wisconsin border, I ordered all of the school's sports equipment, coached the junior high basketball team, added some instruction in the arts and geography, which were not  subject areas required by the Wallace school board. On year I even wrote the Christmas play.

VII. Peace and Justice Additions

I followed the sequence of being secretary, co-chair and chair at a south suburban (Chicago) chapter of SANE/Freeze, which had chapters all over the nation proposing to stop building any more nuclear weapons. I followed the same sequence of offices after the name change to Peace Action in about 1997, after which I was elected to Illinois Peace Action. I served seven+ years as co-chair and chair. 

I was elected to the national Peace Action Board in March 1994, and continue to still be on it today. One of my functions as the chair of the Operations Committee was to enforce our attendance policy. Our committee also made recommendations on maintaining board diversity, and we did a major rewrite of our Bylaws while I was chair. However, how I lost my fear of public speaking was mostly because as chair of Operations I had to run the business portion of our annual conventions. In the business sessions, we debated resolutions which stated our positions on peace and justice issues. We also set policy for the coming year. I became quite comfortable in speaking in public settings.

VIII. A Thumbnail Sketch of Social Security Work

Thursday, October 14, 2021

A Follow-up on the Personal Narrative Sent to Me

 Overview. I cannot sign this Personal Narrative sent to me because it contains some information that is inaccurate; there is no information on the deeply flawed finger and palm prints, which require much deeper examination; and William (Bill) Heirens' confessions are replete with denials, two versions of the same happening, and his hard-to believe made-up stories.

It is not sufficient to state I excelled as a teacher without giving some context to that assessment. The same can be said about, first, SANE/FREEZE, and then Peace Action. And I participated in a great number of activities in University Park, Illinois.

In the second paragraph of the Personal Narrative mailed me, I am identified as a committee member of the Illinois Parole Board (it is actually named the Prisoner Review Board). I was never a member of that board. When I read Dolores Kennedy's book entitled: "William Heirens: His Day in Court" -- Kennedy was Heirens biographer and friend -- I was stunned by reading Bill Heirens' confessions in the back of Kennedy's book. I contacted Dolores, and she told me that she was putting together a committee that would try to find out if Heirens committed any of the three murders to which he confessed. She told me that I would be named the confession analyst on the committee.

I. Second Paragraph of the Personal Narrative

I cannot confirm that Bill Heirens suffered "further punishment at the hands of police officers." He issued a statement reading: "I had been grilled incessantly by police and prosecuting officials in an effort to make me confess to murder; I was forced to undergo interrogation under sodium pentothal and under two lie detectors." Neither of the two lie detector  tests found Heirens to have a guilty conscience.

Bill Heirens told me that the  reason for confessing was the daily fear that while in custody that serious harm could come to him if he continued to deny charges.

The last sentence in the second paragraph should be deleted, as law enforcement in Illinois was pretty much united in opposition to Heirens getting out of prison, or getting a new trial. I don't think I moved the needle on this strong opposition. I can't even confirm that my book garnered "significant support in Mr. Heirens innocence."

II. The Story of the Migrating Print(s)

Before getting into the stories of the migrating print(s) in the Degnan case, and the "bloody" print in the Frances Brown case, I will give a thumbnail sketch of the three murders.

Suzanne Degnan was a six-year-old, who was taken from her north side Chicago bedroom on the early morning of January 7, 1946. She was strangled and then carried to an unlocked apartment  basement, where her body was cut up, and the parts distributed to either four or five sewer openings. A torn piece of paper demanding $20,000 was found on Suzanne's bedroom floor.

Frances Brown, a former member of the Women's Reserve of the United Naval Reserves (WAVE) was killed on December 10, 1945. Written with red lipstick on an apartment wall was a message reading: "For heaven's sake catch me Before I kill more. I cannot control myself."

Josephine  Ross was stabbed and beaten to death on June 5, 1945. There was no evidence tying Bill Heirens to the Ross killing, and the only evidence tying Heirens to the Brown killing was a 
'bloody" fingerprint on Brown's bathroom door jamb.

The story of the migrating print(s) on the Degnan ransom note started when Chicago police found an oily piece of paper demanding $20,000 as ransom. After the discovery of the Degnan note, Commissioner Prendergast of the Chicago Police Department informed the press that the top CPD fingerprint examiner, Sergeant Thomas Laffey, 'had been unable to get prints because the note was  covered with an oil solution.' The FBI informed the CPD that its experts found two "fairly large and classifiable fingerprints" on the note. Significantly important for future claims of print findings, the FBI did not annotate the presence of any palm print.

On June 26, 1946, Bill Heirens was arrested for the burglary of the north side apartment of Joanne Pera. Someone suggested that his fingerprints be compared to the prints on the ransom note, and the single print found in the Brown apartment. On June 28th, Laffey announced that Heiren's prints matched a partial fingerprint located on the front of the note. The CPD told the press that Heiren's prints did not match the Brown print and he was no longer a suspect in the Brown murder.

On July 12, 1946, the CPD reversed itself and said that Heiren's prints matched the Brown print. On July 13, the CPD announced that Laffey had found a second Heirens' print. The finding on the Heirens' print was probably done on July 12, the day that the CPD did its reversal on the Brown print. The long interval between the findings of the Heirens' prints raised a serious question that Laffey or someone else in the CPD had transposed a print taken after Heirens was arrested. 

The Friends of Bill Heirens retained Steven Schachte to perform an analysis of the fingerprint evidence used to convict Bill Heirens in 1946. Schachte had been a latent print examiner for the Indianapolis Police Department for 17 years, and attended two latent print schools conducted by the FRI. Following is his  examination: "I examined the police photographs of the Degnan ransom note for evidence of latent fingerprints Unlike the police reports of two of Bill Heiren's fingerprints on the front of the ransom note, the evidence is clear that the prints on the front of the note are unidentified and not Bill Heiren's. I did locate an identifiable print on the back of the note, but this print is unmentioned in police or court documents."

In this letter to the Prisoner Review Board sent on February 22, 1995, Schachte closes it by saying that: "Of course, a fingerprint may be transferred from one object to another object, making it appear that the second object was touched."

Transposing fingerprints is relatively simple. A cellophane strip is placed over a suspect's prints obtained by the police, and then pressed on an incriminating object.

The extent to which the CPD was willing to go to find incriminating prints of Bill Heirens is illustrated by the Estelle Carey case. A high official in the CPD assured the press that a palm print of a 13-year-old Bill Heirens had been found in the residence of the murdered prostitute, Estelle Carey. The CPD had to pull back its claim when it was discovered that Heirens was in an Indiana school for boys at the time. 

Although Bill Heirens never had a trial in which evidence against him could be tested, prosecutors are required to present the evidence they would have used if there was a criminal trial. When States Attorney William Tuohy made his closing remarks at the sentencing hearing on September 5, 1946, he said: "All the prosecutors had in the Degnan case was a partial fingerprint and that on the ransom note." Touhy made no mention of a palm print, which Sergeant Laffey had claimed to have found.

III. The "Bloody" Brown Print

CPD Chief of Detectives Storms was noted for describing the print on Frances Brown's bathroom door jamb as "bloody." Newspapers in Chicago used words such as "smeared," "obscured,' and "blurred." In the same letter in which Schachte commented on the Degnan ransom note, he headed his comments on the Brown print as II. Bloody Print. Schachte continued: "The print on the doorjamb that is identified as a latent print of Bill Heirens is problematic.

First, it does not appear to be bloody or set in blood. But more importantly, the print is unlike latent prints commonly found at crime scenes. Rather than being an impression on the jamb casually left by an exiting offender, this print appears to have been 'rolled on its side.' That is to say that I can observe a great many ridges on the left side that would not be normal in a plain impression."

On June 28 the CPD found that Bill Heirens' prints did not match the Brown print, and changed its mind about two weeks later.

IV. Serious Flaws in the Murder Confessions

I have previously mentioned the many denials/omissions, two versions of the same happening, and what were obvious "made-up" stories by Bill Heirens. It is difficult to be precise when dealing with several categories in which one tries to fit parts of the confession in.

In the category of Denials/Omissions, in the Suzanne Degnan case,  there were 23 times that Heirens said "no," "I don't know," or "I don't remember." In the Frances Brown case there were 17 such replies in this category. In the Josephine Ross case there were 10 such replies. Many of the Degnan Denials/Omissions came in regard to the cutting up and carrying to sewer openings, parts of Suzanne Degnan's body. Heirens denied everything about these activities.

Among the three murder confessions there were 12 instances in which two versions of a happening were given.

In Account Inaccurate claims being made, and denial was not an issue, there were 7 in the Degnan case, 10 in the Brown case, and 3 in the Ross case. 

In August after the Heirens' confession was published, Heirens had to physically re-enact his confessed crimes, there were 12 more questions asked about the murder of Frances Brown. These 12 questions added three key inconsistencies with the much longer initial interrogation.

V. The Handwriting Comparisons

Regarding the comparison of the red lipstick writing and the writing on the ransom note, Elizabeth Biesteh, the handwriting and documents examiner on our committee, went to a symposium in which she and three other examiners found no similarities in the two writings. Counting David Grimes, the examiner hired by the 'Primetime Live' TN program,  a total of ten examiners found no similarities in the two writings. The 11th examiner, Herbert J. Walter, paid $100 a day by the state, concluded in July 1946 that Bill Heirens may have written both messages. Walter was seriously compromised, however, as he had told the 'Herald American' that the two writings had a "few superficial similarities," and a "great many dissimilarities."

VI. Excelled as a School Teacher

The Professional Narrative I received said I "excelled" as a school teacher. That characterization without any context doesn't mean very much. I will allude first to the extra-curricular work I did when teaching at Lathrop High School in Fairbanks, Alaska. Fairbanks had a juvenile jury program, and since I taught American Government, some of my junior and senior students were on the juvenile jury. I became a member of the jury in my first year there. In the next year, I became the director of the program.

We would meet in an unused courtroom after school hours, with a  judge present to monitor sentences handed out. The students would debate and propose sentences to teenagers who had been convicted of misdemeanors. As an example of  the kinds of sentences handed out, a high schooler who had illegally passed a stopped school bus was sentenced to ride an early-morning bus for a month, and get out at every stop to ensue that safety conditions were being met.

Since Lathrop was to host the competition for high school wrestlers in Alaska, the sports director and varsity basketball coach, named "Joe," called me in and asked me: "Lauri, how would you like to run the high school wrestling competition?" I said I had some limited knowledge of high school wrestling. Joe said: "Lauri, you'll learn." I had interviewed with Joe to coach the junior varsity, and he either was impressed with me, or he didn't want to get stuck with the job.

Subsequently, I secured a TV time slot, and I took two wrestlers with me to illustrate wrestling moves, and explain how points were scored. I also helped a local radio station with their coverage of the early bouts.

While teaching eight grade at Wallace, Michigan, 15 miles from the Wisconsin border, I ordered all of the school's sports equipment, coached the junior high basketball team, added some instruction in the arts and geography, which were not required subject areas by the Wallace school board. 




Friday, October 8, 2021

Informed Comments on Abolishing Wasteful Space Force

 Washington, D.C. - On September 22, 2021, Representative Jared Huffman (D-San Rafael) introduced the 'No Militarization of Space Act,' to abolish the costly and unnecessary Space Force.

"The long-standing neutrality of space has fostered a competitive, non-militarized age of exploration every nation and generation has valued since the first days of space travel. But since its creation under the former Trump administration, the Space Force has threatened longstanding peace and flagrantly wasted billions of taxpayer dollars," said Rep. Huffman. "It's time we turn our attention back to where it belongs: addressing urgent domestic and international priorities like battling COVID-19, climate change, and growing economic inequality. Our mission must be to support the American people, not spend billions on the militarization of space."

"The Space Force has quickly become a taxpayer boondoggle that adds layers of bureaucracy and waste to an already-bloated defense budget. Representative Huffman's legislation would eliminate the Space Force before it's too late to do so, possibly saving billions of dollars in the process. NTU applauds Representative Huffman for introducing this bill," said Andrew Lautz, Director of Federal Policy at National Taxpayers Union.

"Outer space must be de-militarized and kept as a realm for peaceful exploration," stated Kevin Martin, President of Peace Action. "The Space Force is an absurd, duplicative waste of taxpayer dollars, and richly deserves the ridicule it has garnered. Peace Action, the largest grassroots peace and disarmament organization in the US, commends and endorses Rep. Huffman's 'No Militarization of Space Act' to abolish the Space Force."

"Militarization space is an unconscionable waste of tax dollars, and it risks extending the worst mistakes of history to the final frontier by inviting conflict  and escalation. Americans don't want more wasteful military spending, which means Congress should pass the No Militarization of Space Act before the Space Force budget inevitably skyrockets," said Sean Vitka, senior policy counsel for Demand Progress.

This legislation would put an end to the ill-considered rush into establishing a new military service, the Space Force, and save taxpayers billions of dollars in unnecessary spending. Eliminating Space Force in a year and transferring all authorities and functions back to the appropriate commands of the armed  Forces is the most fiscally responsible thing to do. To be clear, the U.S. must be a leader in space, but creating a whole new service wasn't going to accomplish that; it was just going to create a costly new bureaucracy," said Steve Ellis, President, Taxpayers for Common Sense.

Background

"The U.S. Space Force was established on December 20, 2019 with the enactment of the Fiscal Year 2020 National Defense Authorization Act -- despite the country's commitment under the Outer Space Treaty of 1967,which restricts the placement of weapons of mass destruction in space and banned military maneuvers on celestial bodies..."

Wednesday, October 6, 2021

The Militarism of Sports and the Redefinition of Patriotism

 The following is a reprint of a piece written by William J. Astore, a retired lieutenant colonel (USAF), who is a  TomDispatch regular. It was also published in a Michigan Peace Action newsletter.

Since 9/11, sports and the military have become increasingly fused in this country.

Even when taxpayers aren't footing the bill for displays of massive American flags or camouflage-printed uniforms, the melding of sports and the military should be seen as inappropriate, if not insidious...

Nowadays, it seems as if professional sports simply couldn't occur without some notice of and celebration of the U.S. military, each game being transformed in some way into yet another Memorial Day or Veterans Day lite...

When I watched this year's version of the game, however, I didn't relive my youth; I relived my military career. As a start, the previous night featured a televised home-run derby. Before it even began, about 50 airmen paraded out in camouflage uniforms, setting the stage for everything that would follow. (As they weren't on duty, I couldn't help wondering why they found it appropriate to don such outfits.) Part of T-Mobile's "#HatsOff-4 Heroes" campaign, this mini-parade was justified in the name of raising money to support veterans, but T-Mobile could have simply given the money to charity without any of the militarized hoopla that this involved.

Highlighting the other pre-game ceremonies the next night was a celebration of Medal of Honor recipients. I have deep respect for such heroes, but what were they doing on a baseball diamond? The ceremony would have been appropriate on, say, Veterans Day in November. Those same pre-game festivities included a militarist montage narrated by Bradley Cooper (star of "American Sniper"), featuring war scenes and war monuments while highlighting the popular catchphrase "freedom isn't free." Martial music accompanied the montage along with a bevy of flag-waving images. It felt like watching a twisted version of the film "Field of Dreams," reshot so that soldiers, not baseball players, emerged early on from those rows of Iowa corn stalks and stepped onto the playing field. 

Tuesday, October 5, 2021

What President Biden Needs to Do

 Following is a beginning checklist that President Biden needs to do on nuclear weapons-related issues:

1. Extend the New START Treaty with Russia to limit the deployed nuclear weapons and delivery systems to 1,550 and 700 respectively. President Biden and Russian President Putin reached an agreement to unconditionally extend the treaty for the full five years. Now the presidents can negotiate reductions. 

2. Re-enter the Iran Nuclear Deal. It was working before Trump abandoned it.

3. Scrap plans for a new generation of nuclear weapons at an unaffordable cost of $1.7 trillion.

4. Renounce the option of using nuclear weapons first. Congress should pass "No First Use" (NFU) legislation. Senator Debbie Stabenow should continue her co-sponsorship of NFU.

5. President Biden should declare that he does not have the authority to launch nuclear weapons, because only Congress can declare war.

6. Take U.S. nuclear weapons off hair-trigger alert to avoid human mistakes and political miscalculations.

7. Embrace the Treaty on the Prohibition of Nuclear Weapons (TPNW) that made nuclear bombs illegal on January 22, 2021.

The Treaty on the Prohibition of Nuclear Weapons entered into force on January 22, as 52 countries have signed it. Now, nuclear weapons are illegal under international law, and nations who have them, develop them, use them, or even threaten to use them, are breaking the law. Sadly, none of the nine nuclear powers are on board with the TPNW.

The TPNW can eventually lead to the elimination of all nuclear weapons. There is no greater, immediate threat to our very existence than nuclear weapons. And now they are banned. The Treaty puts nuclear weapons in the same category as land mines, chemical weapons, and poison gas. 

The Pentagon's investments in fighting and foolishly trying to win a nuclear war should be halted. The U.S. should actively negotiate with the other nuclear-armed states for a verifiable, enforceable agreement to dismantle the almost 14,000 nuclear warheads that still remain.

These are not new ideas. In 1970, all of the five nuclear powers agreed to eliminate their nuclear arms in exchange for other nations forgoing the development of such weapons. But the nuclear powers refused to give up their enormous power, and bowed to their military-industrial- political powers. The "good faith" negotiations have never occurred.

Although there are nine nuclear-armed powers today, the rest of the world has said, "Enough! Enough of this terror!"

Monday, October 4, 2021

Learning the Lessons of Afghanistan

Massachusetts Peace Action is not a newcomer to the issues raised by the Afghanistan war. We helped organize our first of many protests against the Afghanistan war on September 1, 2001, before it started. 

U.S. military intervention in Afghanistan, though "covert", started in 1978. The progressive, secular government we helped to destroy was modernizing the country and advancing the rights of women. Its overthrow was considered a U.S. victory in the Cold War.

In Syria, our government and its allies financed and armed groups with an ideology even more backward and violent than the Taliban. Together with Turkey, we continue to this day to protect their enclave, effectively controlled by al Qaeda, in northwestern Syria.

Now, after $1 trillion and countless lives wasted on the 2002-2021 Afghanistan war, and 42 years of American interference in that country, we must help America learn the lessons of this disaster.

The U.S. must stop making war on Afghanistan. No drone strikes, bombings, special forces, or aid to rebel groups.

Engage with the Taliban and establish normal relations with the new government. Pay reparations to the Afghan people for the harm we have caused. Accept all Afghan refugees.

Support regional diplomacy by convening Russia, China, India, Pakistan, Iran and others to guarantee  neutrality, and support the stability and development of Afghanistan.

Clean house in Washington. Conduct a thorough investigation of the lies, fraud and mismanagement. Remove all the lying and incompetent generals and national security officials who managed the war for the past 20 years.

End other U.S. interventions in the Middle East by withdrawing troops from Syria and Iraq, ending arms sales and military assistance to Saudi Arabia,  UAE, and Israel, ending sanctions on Syria and Iran, and rejoining the Iran nuclear deal.

Repeal the 2001 and 20002 authorizations for use of military force. Pass the National Security Powers Act (S.2391) to ensure that any future military interventions, arms sales, and sanctions are approved by Congress and have limited terms.

Deeply cut the military budget and use the funds made available to resettle refugees, launch a global COVID-19 vaccination drive, greatly reduce inequality in our country, and address the climate catastrophe.

The debacle of four American presidents' policies in Afghanistan is a wake-up call. We must learn the lessons, change course, rebuild our wounded society, and re-engage with the word on the  basis of respect and equality, rather than arrogance.

I have presented the full Massachusetts Peace Action statement, except for minor corrections to ensure grammatical clarity; however, I would not endorse the second paragraph ,due to a lack of knowledge of its accuracy. In the paragraph beginning with "Engage with the Taliban," I would remove the word "normal", because very little the Talban does is normal. In that same paragraph, I would substitute for the word "all", "vetted and approved." Overall, the peace group presents a very useful road map for needed policy changes.

Saturday, October 2, 2021

Media Commentary on Trump and His Enablers in Early 2021

 The Trump Watch: Media commentary on Trump and his enablers, quoted either in the January 22, or February 15-22 issues of TIME magazine, or quoted separately.

# From Trump's January 6 speech: "If you don't fight like hell, you're not going to have a country       anymore."

# "Trump's congressional enablers are complicit in the deadly violence," said the 'St. Louis Post Dispatch.' "Senators Josh Howley, Ted Cruz, and other 'two-faced lying populist politicians' failed to 'stand-up' and condemn Trump's dangerous rhetoric. Now they deserve to be cast into political purgatory." 

# "These same Republicans are suddenly calling for 'unity' and 'healing,' said The Washington Post.com.' "There is a minimum price of entry for reconciliation: Issue an 'unequivocal acknowledgment' that there was no vote rigging and that Joe Biden won 'fair and square.' " 

# Paul Waldman wrote in 'The Washington Post. com': "Their rage will only increase. We may be facing an era in which 'right-wing domestic terrorism' is a regular feature in our politics."

# "The blame game runs far deeper than Trump," says Zack Beauchamp in 'Vox.com.' "The Capitol Hill mob was the culmination of years of mainstream Republican politics, For years, the GOP has vilified Democrats as extremists who represent an extensional threat to Americans, and whose election victories are inherently fraudulent."

# Theunis Bates, the managing editor of 'Elite's Letter,' wrote: "Yet the people who stormed Congress weren't some alien other, but everyday Americans who -- fed a diet of conspiracy theories -- believed they were doing the patriotic thing."

# Kali Holloway, "The Failed Coup," The Nation, December 14-21, 2020. "Bill Barr poked his partisan nose where no outgoing attorney general had during an election, with a memo urging federal lawyers to look into Trump's groundless accusations of vote tabulation irregularities." Trump is still tweeting that mail-in voting is a 'sick joke,' and falsely insisting 'I WON THE ELECTION!' "  

"From the sidelines, he is cheering on street violence by MAGA thugs, and branding political opponents as unAmerican." "After this year's presidential contest, 70 percent of Republican voters surveyed said it was not 'free and fair,' up from 35 percent before the election." "Now, Republicans are casting Black and Brown citizens as illegitimate voters to invalidate the Biden presidency." "Trump will keep denigrating democracy to elevate himself. Yet again, this president's selfish gains will be America's loss."

# Luke Mogelson, "The Storm," The New Yorker, January 25, 2021. - "It was a peculiar mixture of emotion that had become familiar at pro-Trump rallies since he lost the election: 'half mutinous rage, half gleefulls (?) of excitement' at being licensed to act on it. The profanity signaled a final jettisoning of whatever residual deference to political norms had survived the past four years."

Wednesday, September 29, 2021

The final installment in the myths of the Mueller report

 Myth 6. Because Trump was unsuccessful in ending the investigation, he couldn't have obstructed justice.

RESPONSE: The report finds substantial evidence that Trump asked McGhan to fire Mueller. McGhan said he was prepared to resign rather than comply. Because the law punishes attempts, Trump's effort      to end the investigation constitutes obstruction of justice, even though McGhan did not follow through on the order. In addition, Mueller found that all elements of obstruction were satisfied with regard to Trump's efforts to limit the investigation to future elections: Trump directed then Attorney General Jeff Sessions to 'unrecuse' himself from the investigation and to publicly announce that the investigation would focus only on future elections. If successful, this effort would have prevented us from learning the truth about Russia's efforts to attack the 2016 election.

Myth 7. A President cannot obstruct justice as a matter of law when he is exercising executive power.

RESPONSE: Mueller found that this theory, advanced by Barr in an unsolicited 19-page memo before he became Attorney General, was inconsistent with the law the Constitution and the foundational notion of separation of powers. The Constitution requires not just that the President execute the law, but also that he do so "faithfully." As Mueller and his team stated, subjecting the President to obstruction [of the] law is consistent with the principle of our government that "no person in this country is so high that he is above the law." Even under Barr's theory, a President commits illegal obstruction when he engages in conduct that is outside his executive power, like directing a witness to create a false document, as Mueller found that Trump did with McGhan.

Myth 8. Mueller wanted Barr to make the call on whether Trump committed obstruction.

RESPONSE: Mueller didn't invite Barr to make a decision about prosecuting obstruction. He left it to prosecutors who could decide whether to pursue charges after Trump left office and to Congress, which has impeachment power. Barr's peremptory dismissal of obstruction happened with no explanation of how he was able to resolve the evidence of obstruction when Mueller could not. Since then, more than 1,000 former federal prosecutors, including us, have signed a letter stating that the evidence establishes multiple counts of obstruction of justice.

Monday, September 27, 2021

The myths about the Mueller report that just won't die, continued

 This is a continuation of the myths about the Mueller report, with the first two already posted.

Myth 3. Case closed. No do-overs.

RESPONSE: Mueller investigated the case under criminal statutes, which is a narrow window of inquiry. Congress has a broader responsibility to determine whether the President committed high crimes and misdemeanors for which impeachment is appropriate.

Myth 4. Focus on obstruction detracts from focus on Russia.

RESPONSE: Focusing on obstruction is focusing on Russia. Mueller concluded that Russia interfered in the 2016 election in a 'sweeping and systematic fashion.' The report documents Trump's efforts to end or curtail the investigation, his refusal to be interviewed, and written answers that Mueller found 'inadequate.' It also notes that members of the campaign lied, refused to answer questions and deleted communications. Obstruction is a crime precisely because those who engage in it seek to keep investigators from arriving at the truth. As Mueller wrote in Volume I of the report, pertaining to a conspiracy with Russia, 'given these identified gaps, the Office cannot rule out the possibility that the unavailable information would have shed additional light on (or cast in a new light) the events described in the report.' Efforts to obstruct the investigation may have shielded not only the conduct of members of Trump's campaign, but also active measures by Russia to interfere with our election.

Myth 5. If there was no underlying crime, there can be no obstruction of justice.

RESPONSE: Obstruction of justice included not just completed acts but also attempts. Regardless of Trump's motive -- perhaps to conceal his payments to silence Stormy Daniels, perhaps to avoid the appearance that his election was illegitimate because it was achieved with assistance from a foreign adversary -- his efforts to interfere with Mueller's investigation legally amounts to obstruction of justice, even under the narrow definition and high standard of proof Mueller used. Of course, crimes 'were' charged against 37 individuals and entities, including more than two dozen Russian nationals.

Sunday, September 26, 2021

The Myths about the Mueller report that just won't die

 Although this essay dispelling myths about the Mueller report was published in TIME magazine on July 8, 2019, the myths they dispel are timeless in terms of setting the record straight. Regarding the authors: Barbara McQuade is a professor at the University of Michigan Law School and a former U.S Attorney for the Eastern District of Michigan. Joyce White Vance is a distinguished professor at the University of Alabama School of Law and former U.S. Attorney for the Northern District of Alabama.

In this view essay, eight myths will be covered in several postings, starting with the two authors lead-in. 

"When we testified before the House Judiciary Committee in June [2019] regarding lessons from former special counsel Robert Mueller's investigation, it became apparent from the questioning that misconceptions about Mueller's findings still exist. The narrative was shaped by Attorney General William Barr, who issued his description of Mueller's conclusions more than three weeks before the public saw the full 448-page report. In a letter to Barr, Mueller complained that Barr's summary 'did not capture the context, nature and substance' of his team's work and created 'public confusion.' Mueller will testify before Congress on July 17. In the meantime, here is our effort to dispel some of the most persistent myths."

Myth 1. Mueller found "no collusion."

"RESPONSE: Mueller spent almost 200 pages describing 'numerous links between the Russian government and the Trump Campaign.' He found that 'a Russian entity carried out a social media campaign that favored presidential candidate Donald J. Trump.' He also found that 'a Russian intelligence service conducted computer-intrusion operations' against the Hillary Clinton campaign and released stolen documents He wrote that the 'investigation established that the Russian government perceived it would benefit from a Trump presidency and worked to secure that outcome, and that the Campaign expected it would benefit electorally from information stolen and released through Russian efforts.' 

To find conspiracy, a prosecutor must establish beyond a reasonable doubt the elements of the crime: an agreement between at least two people to commit a criminal offense and an overt act in furtherance of that agreement. Mueller found that Trump campaign members Donald Trump Jr., Paul Manafort and Jared Kushner met with Russian nationals at Trump Tower in June 2016 for the purpose of receiving disparaging information about Clinton as part of 'Russia and its government's support for  Mr. Trump,' according to an email arranging the meeting. The meeting did not amount to a criminal offense, in part, because Mueller was unable to establish willfulness,' that is, that the participants knew their conduct was illegal. Mueller was also unable to conclude that the information was a 'thing of value' exceeding $25,000, the amount that makes a campaign-finance violation a felony.

Mueller found other contacts with Russia such as the sharing of polling data about states where Trump later won upset victories and attempts to influence Russia's response to sanctions imposed by the U.S. government for election interference. While none of these acts amounted to the crime of conspiracy, all could be described as 'collusion.' 

Myth 2. Mueller found no obstruction.

RESPONSE: Mueller found a least four acts by Trump in which all elements of the obstruction statute were satisfied -- attempting to fire Mueller, directing White House counsel Don McGahn to lie and create a false document about efforts to fire Mueller, attempting to limit the investigation to future elections and attempting to prevent Manafort from cooperating with the government. 'As Mueller stated, 'while this report dos not conclude that the President committed a crime, it also does not exonerate him.' Following the Department of Justice policy that a sitting President cannot be charged with a crime, Mueller did not attempt to reach a legal conclusion about the facts. Instead he undertook to 'preserve the evidence when memories were fresh and documentary materials were available,' because a President can be charged after he leaves office. In fact, Mueller thought it would be improper to even accuse Trump of committing a crime so as not to 'preempt constitutional processes for addressing presidential misconduct, meaning impeachment.

Saturday, September 25, 2021

Children's Teeth Can Show the Damage of Nuclear Testing

In 2020, Harvard University's T.C. Chan School of Public Health began a five-year study funded by the National Institutes of Health, that will examine the connection between early life exposures to toxic metals and later-life risk of neurological disease. A collaborator with Harvard, the Radiation and Public Health Project, will analyze the relationship of stronium-90 ( a radioactive element in nuclear weapons explosions) and disease risk in later life. 

The centerpiece of the study is a collection of nearly 100,000 baby teeth, gathered in the late 1950s and early 1960s by the St. Louis Committee for Nuclear Information.

The collection of these teeth occurred during a time of intense public agitation over the escalating           nuclear arms race between the U.S. and Soviet governments that featured the new hydrogen bomb (H-bomb), a weapon more than a thousand times as powerful as the bomb that had annihilated Hiroshima. To prepare themselves for nuclear war, the two Cold War rivals, conducted well-publicized, sometimes televised nuclear weapons tests in the atmosphere -- 434 of them between 1945 and 1963. These tests sent vast clouds of radioactive debris aloft where, carried by the winds, it often traveled substantial distances before it fell to earth and was absorbed by the soil, plants, animals, and human beings.

The hazards of nuclear testing were underscored by the U.S. government's March 1, 1954 explosion of an H-bomb on Bikini Atoll, located in the Marshall Islands. Although an area the size of New England had been staked out as a danger zone around the test site, a heavy dose of nuclear fallout descended on four inhabited islands of the Marshall grouping, and on a Japanese fishing boat, the "Lucky Dragon" -- all substantially outside the danger zone --with disastrous results.

The public grew alarmed, particularly by the fact that stronium-90 from nuclear tests was transmitted from the grass, to cattle, to milk, and finally to human bodies -- with special concern as it built up in children's bones and teeth. By the late 1950s, polls found that most Americans considered fallout a "real danger." 

In August 1958, Herman Kalckar, a biologist at the National Institutes of Health, published an article in the journal "Nature," calling on public-health agencies in multiple nations to engage in large-scale collection of baby teeth. Kalckar proposed testing teeth for stronium-90 from bomb fallout, as children are most vulnerable to the toxic effects of radioactivity.

Washington University scientists recognized that a tooth study could change public policy. In December 1958, they joined with leaders of the Committee for Nuclear Information. a citizen group opposed to nuclear war and above-ground bomb tests, and adopted a proposal to collect and test teeth for stronium-90 concentrations.

For the next 12 years, the Committee worked furiously, soliciting tooth donations through community-based institutions like schools, churches, scout groups, libraries, and dental offices. A total of 320.000 teeth were collected, and a Washington University lab measured stronium-90. 

Results clearly showed a massive increase in stronium-90 as testing continued. Children born in 1963 (the height of bomb tests) had an average of 50 times more than those born in 1951 (when large-scale tests began). Medial journal articles detailed results. Information on the tooth study was sent to Jerome Wiesner, science adviser to President John F. Kennedy.

Kennedy, already seeking a test ban treaty, was clearly influenced by the uproar over the fate of children. In his July 1963 speech announcing the successful conclusion of test ban negotiations by the governments of the United States, the Soviet Union, and the United Kingdom, he argued that governments could not be indifferent to the catastrophe of nuclear war or to "children and grandchildren with cancer in their bones, with leukemia in their blood, or with poison in their lungs." The outcome was the Partial Test Ban Treaty, which banned nuclear testing in the atmosphere, in outer space, and under water.

According to the ongoing tooth study, the average stronium-90 in baby teeth dropped by half just four years after the test ban. With their goal apparently accomplished, the Committee on Nuclear Information and the University halted tooth collection and testing. Soon thereafter the Committee dissolved.

Three decades later, Washington University staff discovered thousands of abandoned baby teeth that had gone untested. The school donated the teeth to the Radiation and Public Health Project, which was conducting a study of strnium-90 in teeth of U.S. children near nuclear reactors.

Now, using stronium-90 still present in teeth, the Radiation  and Public Health Project will conduct an analysis of health risk, which was not addressed in the original tooth study, and minimally addressed by government agencies. Based on actual radiation exposure in bodies, the issue of how many Americans suffered from cancer and other diseases from nuclear testing fallout will be clarified. (Source: Excerpts from "Children's Teeth Collected Decades Ago, Can Show the Damage of Nuclear Testing," History News Network; also, reference https://historynewsnetwork.org/article/180951.)

Friday, September 24, 2021

NSA's Bulk Collection Failing, and the Price of War

 I. NSA's Bulk Collection Failing

194M - Average number of text messages the NSA collected per day in April 2011.

O - Number of terrorist attacks the government could prove were prevented by the NSA's bulk collection of phone records, according to a recent court ruling.

18k - Minimum number of Facebook users whose private data was given to law enforcement in the last half of 2012.

100 - Radius in miles from New York City within which every mosque experienced government  surveillance after 9/11.

$100k - Amount government informants can earn per job excluding "performance" bonuses.

357% - Percentage by which terrorist attacks committed by Muslims receive more media coverage from attacks by non-Muslims.

$3.8b - Budget for the FBI's counterterrorism and counterintelligence units. (Source: Jarod Facundo, "By the Numbers," The Nation, September 2021.)

II. The Price of War

Post-9/11 war-related spending, 2001-2022, plus the projected cost of future veterans' care in current dollars. Homeland Security/Domestic Counterterrorism, $1,117b --- Estimated Future Obligations for Veterans' Care, Through FY2050, $2,200b --- Veterans' Care Through FY2022, $465b --- DOD Overseas Contingency Operations, $2,101b --- State Department, $189b --- Interest Payments on War Spending Through FY2022, $1,087b --- Increases to the Pentagon Base Budget, $884b. (Source: The Nation, 9 . 20 - 27. 2021.)

III. The War Chest

The base budget of the Department of Defense, plus the cost of Overseas Contingency Operations (OCO), or actions in war zones, in current dollars. The Emergency/OCO spending increased by at least $170b in the years 2007, 2008, 2009, 2010 and 2011. Ever since then, except for 2006, the Emergency/OCO spending has increased by less then $100b. War spending jumped in 2018 and 2019 by about $680b, after reaching $600b only once in the preceding five years. (Source: Same as II.)

IV. The Peaks of War Spending

War spending on Iraq & Syria peaked in 2008  at slightly over $140b. War spending on Afghanistan peaked in 2011 at $120b. War spending on the three countries is projected to decline to $20b in 2022. (Source: Same as II.)

V. The Total Cost of America's Post-9/11 Wars

"The United States reacted to the 9/11 attacks with a military mobilization of unprecedented cost. Over the past 20 years, the US military has spent or requested about $5.8 trillion in today's dollars. Add in future medical expenses and disability payments for veterans, which according to research by Harvard's Linda Bilmes will likely exceed $2.2 trillion by 2050, and the total cost of two decades of war is more than $8 trillion."

Direct war deaths in the major war zones of Afghanistan, Pakistan, Iraq, Syria/ISIS, Yemen, and a category designated as "Other," will reach a range of  897,150-928,558 since 9/11. (Source: Neta Crawford, "The Numbers," The Nation, 9 . 20 - 27 . 2021.)




Tuesday, September 7, 2021

Contradictory Impeachment Positions

The Trump Watch: Sen. McConnell's  Impeachment Positions - When Sen. McConnell gave his speech on the Senate floor after his vote acquitting former President Donald Trump, the bulk of it excoriated Trump for his actions of inciting a riot in the Capitol; however, instead of leading up to justifying a vote of guilty, McConnell ended up explaining his vote to acquit McConnell by saying, in part: "There is no question former President Trump bears moral responsibility. His supporters stormed the Capitol because of the unhinged falsehoods he shouted into the world's biggest megaphone." "His behavior during and after the chaos was also unconscionable, from attacking Vice President Mike Pence during the riot to praising the criminals after it ended." McConnell even described Trump as seeming to be "happy" as he  watched television coverage of the riot. 

The gist of McConnell's rationale for voting to acquit Trump is as follows: There is unbreakable linkage between the provision in the Constitution that authorizes the impeachment of the president, and the provision that calls for removal from office. Therefore, since Trump was a private citizen when the trial was held, he  had already been removed from office, thus breaking the linkage.

McConnell's own actions weaken his case for voting to acquit; also, there is precedent that is contrary to Trump's reading of the impeachment clause in the Constitution. Many constitutional scholars also disagree with the contention of Trump's defense lawyers that his January 6th speech was protected free speech.

1.) The House of Representatives properly approved an article of impeachment on January 13th,while Trump was still president, they were turned aside at the Senate door.

2.) McConnell, while still Senate Majority Leader, insisted on a trial date starting after Trump would no longer be president, meaning that it would be a sham, or show, trail.

3;) The House managers had made the point that there was no January exception in the Constitution to block the impeachment for presidential action occurring in January.

4l) Senate jurisdiction had been established by required majority votes -- there were actually two majority votes to establish Senate jurisdiction. Therefore, McConnell could not make a lack of jurisdiction argument.

5,) There was precedent for impeaching a civil officer who was no longer in office.

The Secretary of War, William Belknap, was determined to have accepted bribes dating back to 1870. In 1876, while the House was debating whether to impeach him, Belknap raced back to the White House and resigned. The House voted unanimously to impeach him on five counts, and the Senate decided that it had authority to try former officials, and conducted a trial in April and May 1876. The Senate voted to convict Belknap by majority vote, but since they didn't meet the two-thirds threshold, they had to acquit him.

The Belknap Senate Resolution read: "That it is the opinion of the Senate [that] William W. Belknap, the respondent, is amenable to trial by impeachment for acts done as Secretary of War, notwithstanding his resignation of said office before he was impeached."

Sunday, August 29, 2021

Return to Nuclear Diplomacy with Iran

 In late February of this year, Senator Edward J. Markey (D-Mass.) a member of the Senate Foreign Relations Committee, led 10 of his colleagues in the reintroduction of the Iran Diplomacy Act. The legislation supports President Joe Biden's diplomatic effort to return all sides to full-compliance with their commitments under the Joint Comprehensive Plan of Action (JCPOA), also known as the Iran Nuclear Deal. 

"President Biden is right to pursue diplomatic steps that verifiably shut the door on an Iranian nuclear weapon." said Senator Markey. "President Trump's 2018 exit from the Iran nuclear deal alienated the United States from allies whose support is needed to confront the full-range of Tehran's bad behavior. Trump's 'maximum pressure' campaign brought us to the brink of war and allowed Iran to edge ever closer to nuclear weapons capability. All sides must return to their commitments under the Iran Nuclear Deal, so we can take the existential threat of a nuclear Iran off the table and provide the momentum to advance multilateral and bilateral diplomatic efforts to address Iran's burgeoning missile program; extend elements of the Iran deal due to expire; and combat the Iranian government and its proxies' malign activities throughout the region."

Prior to President Trump's unilateral withdrawal from the JCPOA in 2018, the International Atomic Energy Agency and the U.S. intelligence community both verified that Iran had lived up to its end of the agreement -- which extended the "breakout time" for an Iranian nuclear bomb from a span of weeks to over one year. However, Iran responded to the U.S exit from the JCPOA with concerning, but reversible rollbacks of its commitments under that agreement and it increased its provocative behavior that increased the risk of armed conflict with the United States and its allies. The Iran Diplomacy Act backs Secretary of State Antony Blinken's January 19, 2021 position that full-implementation of the JCPOA provides a" "platform, working with our allies and partners to build a longer and stronger agreement that will also capture some of the other issues that need to be dealt with regard to missiles and with regard to Iran's activities and destabilizing activities in the region." 

Specifically, the Iran Diplomacy Act states that:

# Full implementation of the JCPOA would represent a meaningful step to both preventing an Iranian nuclear weapon and a costly future armed conflict.

# The United States and Iran should promptly return to full-compliance with all of their commitments under the JCPOA.

# After such time that all sides return to their commitments under the JCPOA, the United States should lead international efforts to:

# strengthen the restrictions on Iran's ballistic missile program and counter the proliferation of such technology;

# advance the sunset of select provisions of the JCPOA and other elements of the agreement that merit strengthening; and

# advance any other diplomatic measures that promote United States, regional, and international security. 

# The United States should reaffirm is commitment to United Nations Security Resolution 2231 (2015)

Saturday, August 28, 2021

Annual U.S.- South Korea Combined Exercises as Trigger Point

 One of the thorniest foreign policy challenges the Biden administration will need to face is a nuclear-armed North Korea. Talks between the U.S. and North Korea have been stalled since 2019, and North Korea has continued to develop its weapons arsenal, recently unveiling what appears to be its largest intercontinental ballistic missile.

As a retired U.S. Army Colonel and U.S. diplomat with 40 years of experience, I know all too well how actions by the U.S. military can exacerbate tensions that lead to war. That's why the organization I am a member of, Veterans for Peace, is one of several hundred civil society organizations in the U.S. and South Korea urging the Biden administration to suspend the combined U.S.-South Korea military exercises.

Due to their scale and provocative nature, the annual U.S.-South Korean combined exercises have long been a trigger point for heightened military and political tensions on the Korean Peninsula, These military exercises have been suspended since 2018, but Gen. Robert B. Abrams, Commander of U.S. Forces Korea, has renewed the call for the full resumption of the joint war drills. U.S. and South Korean defense ministers have also agreed to continue the combined exercises, and Biden's secretary of state, Antony Blinken, has said suspending them was a mistake.

Rather than acknowledge how these joint military exercises have proven to raise tensions and provoke actions by North Korea, Blinken has criticized the suspension of the exercises as an appeasement of North Korea. And despite the failure of the Trump administration's "maximum pressure" campaign against North Korea, not to mention decades of U.S. pressure-based tactics, Blinken insists more pressure is what's needed to achieve North Korea's denuclearization. In a CBS interview, Blinken said the U.S. should "build genuine pressure to squeeze North Korea to get it to the negotiating table."

Unfortunately, if the Biden administration chooses to go through with the U.S.-South Korean joint military exercises, it will likely sabotage any prospect of diplomacy with North Korea, heighten geopolitical tensions, and risk reigniting a war on the Korean Peninsula, which would be catastrophic.

Since the 1950s, the U.S. has used the military exercises as a "show of force" to deter a North Korean attack on South Korea. To North Korea, however, these military exercises -- with names such as "Exercise Decapitation" -- appear to be rehearsals for the overthrow of its government.

Consider that these U.S.-South Korea combined exercises have involved the use of B-2 bombers capable of dropping nuclear weapons, nuclear-powered aircraft carriers, and submarines equipped with nuclear weapons, as well as the firing of long-range artillery and other large caliber weapons.

Friday, August 27, 2021

Resuming Nuclear Weapons Testing

 The U.S. government stopped its atmospheric testing of nuclear weapons in 1962, shortly before signing the Partial Ban Treaty of 1962. And it halted its underground nuclear tests in 1992, signing the Comprehensive Test Treaty (CTBT) in 1996. Overall, it conducted 1,030 nuclear weapons test explosions, slightly more than half the global total.

A Washington 'Post' article reported that, in mid-May 2020, a meeting of senior U.S. officials from top national security agencies engaged in serious discussions about U.S. nuclear test resumption. According to one official, the idea was that test renewal would help pressure Russia and China into making concessions during future negotiations over nuclear weapons. 

Meanwhile, during a press briefing in Brussels, the administration's special envoy for arms control stated that the U.S. government "will maintain the ability to conduct nuclear tests if we see reason to do so." Although he said he was "not aware of any reason to test at this stage," he added that he would not "shut the door on it," either. "Why would we?"

Actually, there are numerous reasons why the resumption of U.S. nuclear weapons explosions is a terrible idea. If the government began atmospheric nuclear testing, it would violate the Partial Test Ban Treaty (which it ratified), as well as the CTBT (which it signed but, thanks to Republican Senate opposition, has not yet ratified). Even if U.S. nuclear tests were conducted underground and, thus, violated only the CTBT, the result would be a dramatic loss of credibility for the United States and a escalation of the nuclear arms racer. As Daryl Kimball, executive director of the Arms Control Association, has remarked: "Other nuclear powers would undoubtedly seize the opportunity provided by a U.S. nuclear blast to engage in explosive tests of their own, which could help them perfect new and more dangerous types of warheads."

In addition, a considerable number of non-nuclear nations might decide that, given the U.S. government's failure to fulfill its treaty obligations, their adherence to the Nuclear Nonproliferation Treaty no longer made sense. Therefore, they would begin nuclear testing to facilitate developing their own nuclear weapons arsenals.

Furthermore, U.S. nuclear weapons explosions, whether in the atmosphere or underground, would have serious health and environmental consequences. Even underground U.S. tests have released large quantities of radioactive fallout, and the U.S. government is still dealing with the devastation they caused to communities near the testing sites. Furthermore, no method has been found for cleaning up the plutonium and other radionuclides that the tests have left underground.

Remarkably, there is no military necessity for nuclear test resumption. Not only does the U.S. government possess nearly half the world's nuclear weapons, which are quite sufficient to eradicate life on earth, but the occasionally-cited justification for testing -- that it is necessary to make sure U.S. weapons actually work -- is deeply flawed. The U.S. government has spent tens of billions of dollars on the Stockpile Stewardship Program, a wide range of diagnostic non-explosive tests, to ensure that its nuclear weapons are reliable. And every year the directors of the U.S. nuclear labs report that they are. (Source: Excerpts from an article in "Common Dreams," entitled "Making America Feared Again: The Trump Administration Considers Resuming Nuclear Weapons Testing," by Lawrence Wittner, a professor at Albany University).

Saturday, August 21, 2021

Heading Toward a Cold War, or Even a Hot One

 The United States and China, the word's mightiest military and economic powers, are currently heading toward a Cold War, or even a hot one, with potentially disastrous consequences. But an alternative path is available and could be taken.

Beginning in 2018, U.S. government policy toward China turned sharply hostile, bringing relations between the two nations to their lowest point in the last four decades. The Trump administration fostered military confrontations with China in the South Sea, initiated a trade war with the Asian nation, blamed China for the COVID-19 pandemic, and sharply denounced its human rights record. In a July 2020 public address, U.S. Secretary of State Mike Pompeo called for "a new alliance of democracies" to resist China, declaring: "The free word must triumph over this new tyranny."

For the most part, the Biden administration has continued this hard-line policy. Soon after taking office in 2021, U.S. officials stepped up political and military engagement with Taiwan, which China considers part of its territory, while Secretary of State Antony Blinken used his first meeting with Chinese officials to publicly berate China. At the beginning of June, the U.S. Senate passed the U.S. Innovation and Competition Act, explicitly designed to compete with China by pumping hundreds of billions of dollars into advanced U.S. technology. This action followed the release of a proposed Pentagon budget that identified China as "the greatest long-term challenge to the United States." 

The Chinese government has not shied away from confrontation, either. XI Jinping, taking office in 2012 as General Secretary of the Chinese Communist Party, and in 2013, as President of China, has launched his nation on a 'more assertive nationalist course' in world affairs. This has included turning disputed islands in the South China Sea into Chinese military bases, and steadily building up Chinese military forces. The latter have been employed for dangerous confrontations with U.S. warships in the South China Sea, and for flights into Taiwan's airspace.

The dangers of this growing confrontation are enormous. The United States and China have developed unprecedented military might, and a conventional war could easily spiral into a catastrophic military conflict. Even if war were averted, their escalating arms race, which already accounts for more than half the world's military expenditures, would be a colossal waste of resources.

Fortunately, though, there is plenty of opportunity on the world scene for the United States and China to cooperate and, thereby, not only avert disaster, but serve their common interests.

Avoiding climate catastrophe is certainly a key area in which they would be well-served by cooperation. Not only are the people of China and the United States threatened by climate change, but, as the two nations are the world's biggest emitters of greenhouse gases, they can make or break world climate agreements.

Moreover, both countries have a great deal to gain, as does the world, by their agreement on a nuclear arms control and disarmament program. Minimally, they could increase the transparency of their nuclear holdings, develop arms control verification procedures, and freeze China's nuclear stockpile in exchange for further cuts in U.S and Russian nuclear arsenals.

Other area are also ripe for cooperation. Economic agreements could reduce global poverty, outlaw multinational malfeasance, and regulate trade while crime-fighting measures could address cyberattacks and piracy.

Cooperation between the two nations is not as far-fetched as it might seem. In past decades, the U.S. and Chinese governments worked together on projects like stopping Ebola, reducing the production and consumption of hydrofluorocarbons, averting global financial catastrophe, and assuring food safety. Furthermore, there has recently been agreement by the governments of both nations on U.S.-China cooperation in fighting climate change.

Friday, August 20, 2021

China as Excuse for Bloated Pentagon Spending

 On the eve of his visit to Asia in March 2021, Defense Secretary Lloyd Austin explained that for the past 20 years, the United State had been focused on the Middle East, while China had been modernizing its military. "We still maintain the edge," he noted, "and we're going to increase the edge going forward." Welcome to the new age of bloated Pentagon budgets, all to be justified by the great Chinese threat.

What Austin calls America's "edge" over China is more like a chasm. The United States has about 20 times the number of nuclear warheads as China. It has twice the tonnage of warships at sea, including 11 nuclear-powered aircraft carriers, compared with China's two carriers (which are much less advanced). Washington has more than 2,000 modern fighter jets, compared with Beijing's  600, according to national security analyst Sebastien Roblin. And the United States deploys this power using a vast network of some 800 overseas bases. 

At the height of its imperial might in the late 19th century, when it ruled a quarter of the world's population, Britain adopted a "two-power standard" -- its navy ha to be larger than the next two put together. U.S. military spending remains larger than the defense budgets of the next 10 countries put together, most of which are Washington's close allies. The United States' intelligence budget alone --around $85 billion --is larger than Russia's total defense spending.

In any case, the size of military sending is a misleading indicator of strength. Far more important are the objectives sought and the political-military strategy used to achieve those objectives. The United States has probably outspent the Taliban 10,000 to 1 in Afghanistan. And yet Washington has been unable to achieve its objective there -- ensuring that the Kabul government rules the country uncontested. If the United States defines its goals carefully and assembles an intelligent and consistent political and military strategy to achieve them, it can succeed. Without that, millions of troops and trillions of dollars will not guarantee victory. Bigness is not a substitute for brains.

The Pentagon operates in a realm apart from any other government agency. It spends money on a scale that is almost unimaginable --and the waste is, too. Every government agency is required to audit its accounts, but for decades, the Pentagon simply flouted this law. In 2018, it finally obeyed, paying $400 million for 1,200 auditors to examine its books, yet it still could not get a clean bill of heath. As writer Matt Taibbi noted in a brilliant 2019 expose of Pentagon accounting, the auditors "were unable to pass the Pentagon or flunk it. They could only offer no opinion, explaining the military's empire of hundreds of acronymic accounting silos was too illogical to penetrate." The Pentagon has failed to pass two more audits since then.

Having spent two decades fighting wars in the Middle East without much success, the Pentagon will now revert to its favorite kind of conflict, a cold war with a nuclear power. It can raise endless amounts of money to "outpace" China, even if nuclear deterrence makes it unlikely there will be an actual fighting war in Asia. Of course, there might be budget wars in Washington -- but those are the battles that the Pentagon knows how to win!. (Source: Excerpts from an op ed by Fareed Zakaria in the March 19, 2021 Washington Post).


Thursday, August 19, 2021

ICBMs Are Obsolete

 I. ICBMs Are Obsolete

The U.S. Air Force wants to replace their midwestern land-based Intercontinental Ballistic Missiles (ICBMs) at a price tag of $100 billion. The ICBMs are obsolete because today's submarine nuclear-bombing missiles are now more accurate, and the submarines are hard to find. The ICBMs are not necessary for any deterrence doctrine. Besides, the goal is nuclear disarmament.

The ICBMs are on "trigger alert" because they they so vulnerable to attack. This fact makes them extremely dangerous, since on several occasions it was thought a foreign attack was coming, and they were mistakenly readied for launch. A president is liable to "fire them before losing them."

The Air Force wants to retain all legs of the Triad -- ICBMs, submarines, and bombers. The ICBMs bring in money to the Air Force, are seen as job creators in several states, and the defense contractors relish the income.

There is $44.5 billion in the 2021 defense budget for nuclear weapons, a 19% increase over 2020. Last year, Representative Ro Khanna (D-CA) proposed a two-thirds cut to ICBM research and development. Peace Action, the nation's largest grassroots peace and justice organization, hopes he presses on with such legislation this year.

Will the Biden Administration reduce the budgeting for the obsolete ICBMs? Peace Action wants the ICBMs dismantled and not replaced.

II. Council for a Livable World Highlights

# Denounces Biden Defense Budget

President Joe Biden requested an increase in the defense budget to an exorbitant $735 billion, including $43.2 billion for nuclear weapons. Taxes are being wasted on outdated weapons systems when they could be spent for dealing with cybersecurity, climate change, global health security, and infrastructure in the wake of the global pandemic.

# Nuclear Subsidies may be Slowing Transition to Clean Energy

Many activists, scientists and lawmakers agree that nuclear energy -- which provides one fifth of the power in the U.S. -- is by definition not "clean" or renewable, given that spent fuel remains radioactive and dangerous for thousands of years. Billions in state and federal subsidies that prop up the nuclear industry -- payments that the Biden administration has signaled it may continue to support --may be wasting taxes that should be spent for the transition to a truly energy economy. 

# Biden Should Sink this Proposed Nuclear Weapon

Former-president Donald Trump's nuclear-armed, sea-launched cruise missile is a redundant, and  dangerous multi-billion-dollar mistake. (Source: Adapted from "The Council Front & Center: an update on arms control, national security, and politics from the Council for a Livable World").

Wednesday, August 18, 2021

Cold War with China is Dangerous

I. Cold War with China is Dangerous

Sixty-six organizations, including Peace Action, issued a statement with the following key points:

# We are deeply concerned about the growing Cold War mentality driving the U.S. approach to China.

# Worryingly, both parties are increasingly latching onto a dangerously short-sighted worldview that presents China as the pivotal existential threat to U.S. prosperity and security, and counsels zero-sum competition as the primary response.

# The true global challenges of today -- like economic inequality and lack of opportunity, climate change, nuclear proliferation, pandemics, financial crises, supply chain disruption and ethnonationalism -- will require joint, non-military solutions with China and other countries.

# Instead, the level of demonization and outdated Cold War thinking driving Washington, threatens to fuel destabilizing arms-racing and risks escalation towards a predictably devastating conflict.

# President Biden and Congress should focus on innovation, cooperation and multilateral approaches, not hostility and confrontation, to address shared challenges and areas of concern.

# If the U.S. government doesn't change course quickly, this dangerous bipartisan push for a new Cold War with China risks empowering hardliners in both countries, fueling more violence against Asian American and Pacific Islander communities, and failing to confront the truly existential-shared threats we face this century." (Statement is found in Peace Action of Michigan "Flash!", SUMMER 2021).

President Biden's Battle: Guns or Butter?

President Joe Biden's big spending on the American Jobs Plan offers hope for decent jobs improving roads, bridges, and broadband. His American Families Plan offers hope for investments in childcare and community college, and lowering taxes with the Child Tax Credit. Child poverty could be cut by 50%.

But big spending on "butter" can be stymied by overspending on "guns." In the 1960's battle between guns (Vietnam) and butter (The Great Society), well-intended programs of social uplift were squeezed by a lack of financial outlays.

President Lyndon Johnson got the legislation for "The Great Society" adopted, However, LBJ undermined it by spending American blood and taxes fighting the U.S. war in Vietnam. Will Joe Biden avoid a similar failure? He wants to "Build Back Better," but will he get the resources without reducing Pentagon overspending?  

Although Biden has extended the New START cap on nuclear weapons with Russia, he is going ahead with the rising costs associated with upgrading all the U.S. nuclear armaments. Is that affordable or safe? Can the U.S. afford the financial drain and blowback from over 800 military bases in dozens of countries around the world?

Biden continues to transfer more military assets to the South China Sea and near to Taiwan. Will some variant of a Tonkin Gulf Incident sink his domestic programs?

Given his domestic priorities for building back better, why is Biden proposing an increase in the Defense Budget over President Trump? Does he really think Americans can afford both "guns and butter?"  

President Dwight Eisenhower offered a cautionary vision: "There is no way in which a country can satisfy the craving for absolute security, but it can bankrupt itself morally and economically in attempting to reach that illusory goal through arms alone." (Source: Same as above).

A Bunch of Lies

The Washington Post published "The Afghanistan Papers" based on confidential documents written by the Pentagon. Those papers reveal the real results of war in Afghanistan. 

U.S. officials failed to develop a clear strategy for war in Afghanistan. They admitted to fueling corruption by flooding the country with money and then turning a blind eye. They confessed that almost everything they did to end opium farming in Afghanistan backfired. 

U.S. officials failed to tell the truth about the progress of the war in Afghanistan. One U.S. veteran wrote, "Every data point was altered to present the best picture possible. Truth was rarely welcome."

Will Congress learn from the tragic mistakes? Will Congress conduct hearings to hear from those who lied to us? (Source: Found in Peace Action of Michigan "Flash!", Winter-January 2020).