Trump Closes With Big Lie, and Pollsters Not Making Sense

I. Trump Closes With a Big Lie
On Friday, November 4, a story broke on at least Fox News that Hillary Clinton was going to be indicted for Clinton Foundation misdeeds. Donald Trump picked up on the story and begin telling his supporters that Clinton was going to be indicted and she would be spending the next few months fighting the indictment. While he was doing this, Fox News reported that the story was false and apologized for the "mistake." Yet three hours after the correction was made, Donald Trump was telling a rally that Hillary would be indicted. The following day Trump was still telling his supporters the same lie. I haven't been able to find any media condemnation of this contemptible behavior.

Also this past weekend, a Trump rally was disrupted when someone with an anti-Trump sign was accosted by Trump supporters and a melee broke out. Someone apparently shouted, "He's got a gun," and Trump was hustled off the stage by the Secret Service. During the commotion that followed, a reporter was beaten up. Although pro-gun zealots contend that guns help troublesome situations from developing and stop them when they do, apparently, in this situation, the report of a gun being present caused fear and apprehension, escalating the melee.

Kellyann Conway, Trump's campaign manager, blamed the melee on a Clinton infiltrator, but blaming Clinton for everything bad that happens should by now be recognized as the ravings of a demented person. The person who stirred up the audience with his sign was likely a NeverTrump individual.

II. Pollsters Not Making Sense
The presidential race in Florida is still being treated as being basically tied 45 to 45%, yet this claim is wildly inconsistent with the early voting. A total of 565,000 Hispanics have voted and when you include the Hispanics who have requested absentee ballots the total comes to 911,000 Hispanic votes. A Latino tracking firm has found that 83% of Hispanics support Clinton and 17% support Trump. If we assume a more modest 80-20 ratio, Clinton has a 546,600 vote lead over Trump.

564,000 African Americans have early voted, not counting yesterday's total. If Clinton got 90% of that total and Trump got 10%, Clinton gains 451,200 votes. Adding 546,600 and 451,200 equals a 997,800 vote lead for Clinton. Donald Trump will need to overcome almost a million vote lead in tomorrow's voting.

In  Ohio, a survey of early voting gives Clinton a lead of 48% to 41%. Clinton's early voting advantage among women is 55 to 32% and Trump's advantage among men is 53 to 39%, meaning that Clinton should have a sizable lead after early voting. More women than men vote in national elections.

ADDENDUM:
*Of the nation's 100 largest newspapers, 57 have endorsed Clinton and two have endorsed Trump.